Epidemiological and viral genomic sequence analysis of the 2014 ebola outbreak reveals clustered transmission.

نویسندگان

  • Samuel V Scarpino
  • Atila Iamarino
  • Chad Wells
  • Dan Yamin
  • Martial Ndeffo-Mbah
  • Natasha S Wenzel
  • Spencer J Fox
  • Tolbert Nyenswah
  • Frederick L Altice
  • Alison P Galvani
  • Lauren Ancel Meyers
  • Jeffrey P Townsend
چکیده

Using Ebolavirus genomic and epidemiological data, we conducted the first joint analysis in which both data types were used to fit dynamic transmission models for an ongoing outbreak. Our results indicate that transmission is clustered, highlighting a potential bias in medical demand forecasts, and provide the first empirical estimate of underreporting.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

دوره 60 7  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015